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How Canadian Small Businesses Can Prepare for U.S. Tariffs & a Potential Trade War

Writer: Avesbury Consulting Avesbury Consulting

Learn how Canadian small businesses can navigate Trump's proposed 25% tariffs on Canadian imports. Discover strategies to mitigate risks, diversify markets, and stay competitive.



With U.S. President Donald Trump proposing a 25% tariff on Canadian imports, Canadian businesses—especially small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs)—face the looming threat of a trade war. Such a drastic policy shift could disrupt supply chains, raise costs, and force companies to rethink their market strategies. While the full impact remains uncertain, businesses must act now to mitigate risks and prepare for potential economic turbulence.

1. Assess Your Exposure to U.S. Tariffs

A 25% tariff would have significant consequences for Canadian businesses, particularly those in industries that rely heavily on exports to the U.S., such as:

  • Automotive and Manufacturing: Car parts and industrial goods could see increased costs, leading to reduced competitiveness.

  • Agriculture and Food Products: Canadian farmers and food producers may face higher barriers to the U.S. market.

  • Steel and Aluminum: Past trade disputes have shown that these sectors are particularly vulnerable to U.S. tariffs.

  • Retail and E-commerce: Small businesses that rely on cross-border sales may see higher costs and reduced demand from U.S. customers.

Small businesses should evaluate their trade exposure and conduct a financial impact assessment to understand how these tariffs could affect their bottom line.

2. Diversify Supply Chains and Markets

A trade war with the U.S. underscores the need for Canadian companies, particularly small businesses, to reduce reliance on American buyers and suppliers. Consider:

  • Exploring New Export Markets: Canada has strong trade agreements with the European Union (CETA) and Asia-Pacific countries (CPTPP), offering alternative destinations for goods.

  • Nearshoring and Domestic Sourcing: Small businesses can reduce reliance on U.S.-based suppliers by sourcing materials from Canada or other tariff-free regions.

  • Strengthening Trade Partnerships: Investing in relationships with suppliers from countries with favorable trade agreements to maintain supply chain resilience.

  • Using Online Marketplaces: E-commerce businesses can leverage global platforms to reach new customers outside the U.S.

3. Utilize Trade Agreements and Government Support

While U.S. tariffs pose a risk, Canada has several trade agreements that can help businesses find alternative markets. Key agreements include:

  • CUSMA (Canada-United States-Mexico Agreement): Despite potential U.S. tariffs, Canada’s trade relationship with Mexico remains an option for some industries.

  • CETA (Comprehensive Economic and Trade Agreement): Provides access to the European market without tariffs on most goods.

  • CPTPP (Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership): Opens doors to Asian and Pacific markets.

Additionally, small businesses should explore government programs like:

  • Export Development Canada (EDC) support for expanding into new markets.

  • Duty Deferral and Remission Programs to offset tariff costs.

  • Canada’s Strategic Innovation Fund, which provides funding for industries impacted by trade disputes.

  • The CanExport Program, which helps small businesses develop new international markets.

4. Adjust Pricing and Contract Strategies

A 25% tariff would drive up costs for many businesses, necessitating a strategic review of pricing and contractual agreements. Consider:

  • Renegotiating supplier contracts to include clauses for tariff-related adjustments.

  • Cost absorption vs. price increases: Small businesses must determine how much of the tariff burden can be passed to customers without losing competitiveness.

  • Exploring alternative production models: U.S.-bound production may be partially shifted to Mexico, where CUSMA rules may offer advantages.

  • Offering Value-Added Services: To justify potential price increases, small businesses can enhance customer service, packaging, or exclusive offerings.

5. Stay Agile and Proactive

Trade policy under a potential Trump administration could change rapidly, making it essential for businesses to stay informed and flexible. Recommended steps include:

  • Monitoring trade developments through government updates, industry associations, and trade policy analysts.

  • Engaging in advocacy: Businesses can work with trade groups and the Canadian government to lobby against unfair trade practices.

  • Building internal trade expertise: Investing in training and consultation to navigate tariff-related challenges effectively.

  • Connecting with Local Business Networks: Small business owners should leverage chambers of commerce, trade associations, and small business support groups for advice and collaboration.

Final Thoughts

The threat of a U.S.-Canada trade war, fueled by Trump’s proposed 25% tariffs, presents significant risks for Canadian businesses—especially small enterprises. However, those who prepare strategically—by diversifying markets, leveraging trade agreements, and adjusting supply chains—can position themselves to weather the storm.

Now is the time for proactive planning to ensure resilience and maintain competitiveness in an unpredictable trade landscape.


Want to learn more about how to implement these strategies for your business? Book a strategy session today.




 
 
 

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